Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros odds, picks and prediction
The Detroit Tigers (5-6) and Houston Astros (6-5) close out a three-game set at Minute Maid Park Wednesday evening at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Tigers vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Michael Fulmer is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. Over 10 starts in 2020 and three relief appearances last season, he went a combined 0-2 with a 7.53 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 7.8 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 across 34 2/3 IP. Fulmer owns a career home ERA of 3.59 and a career road mark of 4.54.
RHP Lance McCullers Jr., is the projected starter for the Astros. In 13 starts over the last two seasons, he is 4-3 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 across 65 IP. The Houston righty has logged two 5-inning starts against the Oakland Athletics this season.
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Tigers at Astros odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Astros -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (+110) | Astros -1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Astros 5, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
Houston and Detroit headed into the series ranked third and 27th, respectively, in OPS. On the young season, the Astros have been making solid contact (19.0 K%) while posting a .811 OPS but the home nine has lost the first two games of this series and has dropped four straight overall.
Look for a reversal of fortune Wednesday night. Houston is a lean up to about -230. PASS ON ANYTHING LOWER.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
TAKE THE ASTROS -1.5 (-135). This play is on a small lean but one built on fading the Detroit bullpen and its Boeing ERA (7.07), and putting faith in McCullers.
The Houston starter has a history of getting out of the gate quickly (first-half OPS allowed of .641 vs. .767 in the second half). He makes this start on a preferred four days of rest (.670 OPS for his career), and he has held foes to a .614 OPS in career games at Minute Maid.
Over/Under (O/U)
Solid faith in McCullers plus enough of a lean on Fulmer make for decent value on the UNDER 9 (-115).
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